International Livestock Model

The FAPRI International Livestock Model examines and projects the area, production, usage, stocks, prices, and trade for beef and veal, pork, and poultry meat for several countries and regions of the world (listed below). More about model structure...

Livestock and Meat Outlook Summary

For the last three years, SPS issues have affected the world meat market, and they will remain a factor in the short-run outlook as the market recovers from these shocks. Following the lead of Japan, several countries are opening their borders. Hence, the outlook for the world meat sector in the next decade shows recovery, with increases in consumption, production, and trade. The main driver on the demand side is solid and sustained economic growth in many regions, ranging from 3.4% to 6.6%. Per capita consumption of beef, pork, and poultry increases by 6.8 kg between 2005 and 2015. Meat production capacity also continues to expand. Structural transformation has raised productivity and efficiency and several policy and institutional changes around the globe have improved the functioning of world markets.

Rising meat demand fuels a 20.4% growth in total meat production over the next decade. Income and population growth and various production constraints enable consumption to rise faster than production in many countries, prompting these countries to satisfy their excess demand with low-cost imports. Total meat trade increases by 25.6% in the next decade.

World Livestock Outlook Text 112 KB

Download World Livestock Outlook Tables:     433 KB     59 KB

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Contact Person:
Jacinto Fabiosa
FAPRI Co-Director and International Livestock Analyst
579 Heady Hall
Telephone: 515-294-6183
Fax: 515-294-6336
jfabiosa@iastate.edu

Commodity and Country Coverage
Beef and Veal		Pork		Broiler Meat
	Argentina Australia Brazil Bulgaria Canada China - Hong Kong China - Mainland Egypt European Union - 15 European Union New Member States India Indonesia Japan Mexico New Zealand Other CIS Other Eastern Europe Philippines Romania Russia South Africa South Korea Taiwan Thailand Ukraine United States Rest of World		Argentina Australia Brazil Bulgaria Canada China - Hong Kong China - Mainland European Union - 15 European Union New Member States Indonesia Japan Mexico New Zealand Other CIS Other Eastern Europe Philippines Romania Russia South Korea Taiwan Thailand Ukraine United States Rest of World		Argentina Australia Brazil Bulgaria Canada China - Hong Kong China - Mainland Egypt European Union - 15 European Union New Member States India Indonesia Japan Mexico New Zealand Other CIS Other Eastern Europe Philippines Romania Russia Saudi Arabia South Africa South Korea Taiwan Thailand Ukraine United States Rest of World